æµ·é??å®?è§?ï¼????½å¤®è¡???大æ???继续?????è¿?äº??¡ä»¶è¾¾æ??????ä¼?å¼????°ä?è½???è´§å?宽æ??/p>

????·� � ·

????ç¾????¨å???????5BPï¼?并æ??计å??缩表??

???????ç¾????¨å£°??è¾?1????è¾?大å??????ç¬??ï¼???? ??é¢?计æ??ç»?????????å®?????ï¼??¹ä¸º??é¢?计ä?äº?é¢?å¤????¿ç?紧缩???½æ????å®?????ï¼?ç¬??ï¼????¤â??????????ç¼?????ï¼?强è???????ä¾??¶å?é«???????é«?åºþ@?³æ³¨????é£??©â???????´å??äº??¢å?2ï¼?????????????ï¼?ç¬??ï¼??°å???ç¾??½é?¶è?ä½?系稳?¥ä?å¯???å¼¹æ?§ã????è¿???äº?????å±????½ä?导è?´å?åº???ä¼?ä¸???ä¿¡è´·?¡ä»¶?¶ç´§ï¼?并ç?ç»?æµ?æ´»å?¨ã??å°±ä???????å¸þ=?¥å??????????å°?å¯????³æ³¨???¥å??å¸???ä¿¡æ???并è?ä¼°å?¶å?è´§å??¿ç???å½±å??????

????ç»??¹å?©ç??ä¸???ï¼???è¿???1次å??????ç¾????¨ç?¹é?µå?¾æ?¾ç¤ºï¼?å§???ä»??ä»?å¹´å?©ç??é¢???ä¸???¸º5.1ï¼?ï¼?ä¸??»å¹´12????å¹³ï?ä¸?è¿??ºé?´ä?5.1ï¼?-5.4ï¼???ä¸?.1ï¼?-5.6ï¼?ï¼???å¹´å?©ç??ä¸????4.1ï¼?ä¸?????.3ï¼????¶ä¸­ï¼?9??以ä?????认为ä»?å¹´è???????.0ï¼?以ä?ï¼?39ï¼???????认为è¦?????.25ï¼?ï¼?表æ????è¿???1次å?????è¿?8??????认为??å¹´è?³å?????0BP??

????é²?å¨?å°???ä½?表æ??ï¼??³ä??¶è?é£??©ï?强è?è´·æ?计å??????满足äº??¶è?????æ±?ï¼??¨æ?·ç???¨è??????¨ç??ï¼??¶è?ä½?ç³»å?¥åº·???§æ?§ï?????·²ç»?å¾??°å????æ¶???ï¼??¶è??±æ?ºå???½æ?????§ç?????³ä?????/STRONG>ï¼?????ä¾??¶å?é«?ï¼??³å?¨å??å¸??ºä??¶ç´§å¼?ï¼?å¦???å¿?è¦?ï¼?ä¼?继续?????强è?ä¸?ä¼???认为ä»?å¹´ä?ä¼????????³ä?缩表ï¼????ºè???èµ?产è??ºè¡¨???©å?主è?????äº?????è´·æ?ï¼?ä¸?è´§å??¿ç????³ï?è¿?ç§??©å??????¶ç??ï¼???????äº???解å?³é?¶è?ä¸???????³ä?ç»?æµ?ï¼?强è?ç»?æµ?è¡°é??å¾?å¾?????线æ?§ç??ï¼?å¾??¾é??è¿?模å??é¢?æµ?ï¼?ä»??¶è?为æ??ä¸??¡é??å¾???è½???????????è·???ä¸?è¿?ï¼??¶è?äº?件å?导è?´ä¿¡è´·æ?¶ç´§ï¼?ä¼?å½±å??ç»?æµ???

????1

????å¦???????5BPï¼??§é????ä»????è¦?????

????å¦???????5BP??2023å¹???22?¥ï?ç¾???????FOMCä¼?è®??³å?????5BPï¼?ä¸?è°????þ@?ºé???©ç???ºé?´è??.75ï¼?-5.00ï¼?ï¼??©ç????????006å¹???以æ?¥ç??é«??¹ã??æ­¤å?ï¼?ä¸?è°???å¤???ä½?é¢??©ç??ï¼?IORBï¼???.90ï¼?ï¼?ä¸?è°???å¤?????è´??©ç??ï¼?ON RRPï¼???.80ï¼?ï¼?ä¸?è°?主è?ä¿¡è´·?©ç????.00ï¼?ï¼?ä¸?è°???å¤???è´??©ç????.00ï¼???

??????计å??缩表ï¼?ç¾????¨å?继续????ç¾??½å?½å?ºã???ºæ???ºå?¡å???ºæ???µæ?¼è´·æ¬¾æ????è¯??¸ï?ä¸???ä¸?50亿ç???ï¼?600亿ç????½å?ºå??350亿ç???MBSï¼???

?????§é????ä»????è¦?????????ç¾???????è®????è®??¹è?ï¼?æµ·é??å®?è§? ??ä¿???æ¢?ä¸???ï¼?

?????§é????ä»????è¦?????????ç¾???????è®????è®??¹è?ï¼?æµ·é??å®?è§? ??ä¿???æ¢?ä¸???ï¼?

??????ä»??为ï?ç¾????¨å?????????ä¸??¹é?¢æ????为é????????ä¾??¶è?大ï?ç»´æ?¤è??º«?????§é??????ä¿¡è??????ä¼?è®?¸­ï¼?ç¾????¨å£°??å°???????????ç¼?解â?????¤ï?é²?å¨?å°?ä¹??¨æ?°é?»å??å¸?ä¼?ä¸?¼ºè°???å½?????ç¾??½é????æ°´å¹³ä»??¶è?é«?ï¼??³å?¨å??å¸??ºä??¶è?äº?ç´§å?ï¼?ç¾????¨ä??¶å¼º???´å??äº?å°?????????ä½???ï¼????¢å?????????

?????þ???¹é?¢æ???³è?表æ???¶è?ä½?ç³»ä??¶ç¨³?¥ï?为å??ºæ³¨?¥ä¿¡å¿???è¿???æµ·å?ä¸???¶è???é£??©ç????ï¼????¹æ???????????¨ç??????????å±?é«?ä¸?ä¸???è´§å??¿ç?大å???????ç»???????½®??????3年以?¥æ??å¿???ä¸?次ï?9次便ç´??????75BP??

?????§é????ä»????è¦?????????ç¾???????è®????è®??¹è?ï¼?æµ·é??å®?è§? ??ä¿???æ¢?ä¸???ï¼?

????2

???????¨å£°????è¾?大å????

????ä»?声æ???¥ç??ï¼?ä¸?2023å¹????¸æ???è¾?大å??????

?????³ä?ç»?æµ??¹é??????³â??æ¶?è´¹å????产æ????ä»??¨é??åºþ@??¿ï???è¿???ä¸???ï¼?å°±ä?å¢??¿æ??????å¿??并ä?å¢??¿å¼º?²ï?失ä???ä¸??´ä????¨ä?æ°´å¹³???????¤â??ä¿?ä¹??°ç?é£??©é????äº?è¾?大ç??ç»?æµ???失ï?并å???§ä??¨ç????ä¸?ç¡???§â????

?????§é????ä»????è¦?????????ç¾???????è®????è®??¹è?ï¼?æµ·é??å®?è§? ??ä¿???æ¢?ä¸???ï¼?

?????³ä??????¹é??/STRONG>ï¼????¤â????è´§è?¨è??????ç¼?解â????强è?????è´§è?¨è??ä»??¶å?é«????????¶è?é£??©å???½ä?导è?´å?åº???ä¼?ä¸???ä¿¡è´·?¡ä»¶?¶ç´§ï¼?并ç?ç»?æµ?æ´»å?¨ã??å°±ä???????å¸þ=?¥å????ï¼?è¿?äº?å½±å????ç¨?åºþA?ä¸?ç¡????????å§???ä¼?ä»??¶é?åºþ@?³æ³¨??è´§è?¨è??é£??©â???????´å??äº??¢å?2ï¼???????????????

?????§é????ä»????è¦?????????ç¾???????è®????è®??¹è?ï¼?æµ·é??å®?è§? ??ä¿???æ¢?ä¸???ï¼?

?????³ä??????¹é??/STRONG>ï¼????¤è??»å??å¤?强è?????é¢?计æ??ç»?????????å®?????ï¼??¹ä¸º??é¢?计ä?äº?é¢?å¤????¿ç?紧缩???½æ????å®?????ï¼?表æ??ç¾????¨å?????尾声??

?????³ä??¶è?é£??©ï??°å???ç¾??½é?¶è?ä½?系稳?¥ä?å¯???å¼¹æ?§â????????è¿???äº?????å±????½ä?导è?´å?åº???ä¼?ä¸???ä¿¡è´·?¡ä»¶?¶ç´§ï¼?并ç?ç»?æµ?æ´»å?¨ã??å°±ä???????å¸þ=?¥å??????????è¿?äº?å½±å????ç¨?åºþA?ä¸?ç¡??????

????3

????ç»??¹å?©ç??ä¸???ï¼???è¿???1次å????/STRONG>

????ç»??¹å?©ç??ä¸?????ç¾????¨å?ä»?å¹´ç???©ç??ä¸??¢ç»´????.1ï¼?ä¸???ï¼?ä¸??»å¹´12????å¹³ï?ä¸?è¿??ºé?´ä?5.1ï¼?-5.4ï¼???ä¸?.1ï¼?-5.6ï¼???å°???å¹´ç???©ç??ä¸????4.1ï¼?ä¸?è°???.3ï¼?ï¼??¸æ??»å¹´12??é¢???å¤?äº?20BP??ä¸?2025å¹´å???¿æ?????©ç??ä¸?????¶ç»´????.1ï¼???2.5ï¼?ä¸?????

??????è¿???1次å??????ç¾????¨ç???¹é?µå?¾æ?¾ç¤ºï¼?18ä½?????ä¸???以ä?é¢???2023å¹´è?³å?è¦???????.0ï¼?ï¼?39ï¼???????认为è¦?????.25ï¼?ï¼?表æ????è¿???1次å??????

??????023å¹´å??????.0ï¼????ºç?ä¸?ï¼?7??以ä?????认为??å¹´è?³å?????0ä¸?Pï¼?5??????认为??å¹´è?³å?????00ä¸?P??

?????§é????ä»????è¦?????????ç¾???????è®????è®??¹è?ï¼?æµ·é??å®?è§? ??ä¿???æ¢?ä¸???ï¼?

????ç¾????¨ç??SEPï¼?ä¸?è°?äº?ä»???两年??ç»?æµ?é¢?????å°?ä»?å¹´ç??GDPå¢???é¢???ä»?0.5ï¼?ä¸?è°???.4ï¼?ï¼???å¹´ç??ç»?æµ?é¢???ä»?1.6ï¼?大å?ä¸?è°???.2ï¼???2025å¹´ç??ä¸?è°?0.1ä¸??¾å???¹è??.9ï¼?ï¼??¿æ??ç»?æµ?é¢???ä»?ç»´æ????.8ï¼?ä¸?????

????继续ä¸?è°?????é¢?????å°?ä»?å¹´é????é¢???ä¸?è°?0.2ä¸??¾å????.3ï¼?ï¼?ç»´æ??2024-2025å¹´é????é¢???ä¸?????ä¸?è¿?ï¼?å°?ä»???两年?¸å?????é¢?????ä¸?è°?0.1ä¸??¾å???¹è??.6ï¼???2.6ï¼?ï¼???é«?äº?ç¾?????ï¼?????????????

????ä¸?è°?失ä???é¢?????å°?ä»?年失ä¸???é¢???ä¸?è°?0.1ä¸??¾å???¹è??.5ï¼?ï¼?2023年失ä¸???é¢???ä¸???ï¼?å°?2025年失ä¸???é¢???ä¸?è°?0.1ä¸??¾å???¹è??.6ï¼????¿æ??失ä???é¢???ä»?ç»´æ????.0ï¼?ä¸?????

?????§é????ä»????è¦?????????ç¾???????è®????è®??¹è?ï¼?æµ·é??å®?è§? ??ä¿???æ¢?ä¸???ï¼?

????4

????é²?å¨?å°???ä½?表æ??ï¼?

?????³ä??¶è?é£??©ï?强è?è´·æ?计å??????满足äº??¶è?????æ±?ï¼??¨æ?·ç???¨è??????¨ç??ï¼?å°?å¯?????æµ?å½¢å?¿ï?ä¼??©ç?¨æ????å·¥å?·ç¡®ä¿??¶è?ä½?ç³»å??¨ã??强è?ç¾??½é?¶è?ä½?ç³»ä?å­??¨å¹¿æ³???å¼±ç?¹ï??¶è?ä½?ç³»å?¥åº·???§æ?§ï?????·²ç»?å¾??°å????æ¶???ï¼??¶è??±æ?ºå???½æ????åºþ>????

?????§é????ä»????è¦?????????ç¾???????è®????è®??¹è?ï¼?æµ·é??å®?è§? ??ä¿???æ¢?ä¸???ï¼?

?????³ä?????/STRONG>ï¼????ºæ?¾è????è¿???æ­¢å?????ä½???????°å?±è???????ä¾??¶å?é«?ï¼??³å?¨å??å¸??ºä??¶ç´§å¼?ï¼?å¦???å¿?è¦?ï¼?ä¼?继续??????强è?ä¸?ä¼???认为ä»?å¹´ä?ä¼???????´ç´§??ä¿¡è´·?¡ä»¶??»¥?¿ä»£??????

?????§é????ä»????è¦?????????ç¾???????è®????è®??¹è?ï¼?æµ·é??å®?è§? ??ä¿???æ¢?ä¸???ï¼?

?????³ä?缩表ï¼????ºä??¶å?¨ç»§ç»?¼©è¡??????ä¸??¹å??缩表计å????è¿???èµ?产è??ºè¡¨???©å?主è?????äº?????è´·æ?ï¼?ä¸?è´§å??¿ç????³ï?è¿?ç§??©å??????¶ç??ï¼???????äº???解å?³é?¶è?ä¸????????????15?¥ï?ç¾????¨å????????°è?产è??ºè¡¨?¾ç¤ºï¼?ç¾????¨æ??¨æ?§å??信贷便å?©å·¥?·å?±è´·?ºä?3181.5亿ç???ï¼?ä»?次ä?08å¹´é?????±æ?ºæ?¶æ?????¶ä¸­ï¼?BTFP使ç?¨ä?119.4亿ç???ï¼?è´´ç?°ç??£ä½¿?¨é?????´å???528.5亿ç???ï¼???ä¸??¨ä?45.8亿ç???ï¼?ï¼??????²æ?°é?ï¼?08å¹´é?????±æ?ºæ?¶æ??é«??¹ä¸º1000å¤?亿ç???ï¼???

?????§é????ä»????è¦?????????ç¾???????è®????è®??¹è?ï¼?æµ·é??å®?è§? ??ä¿???æ¢?ä¸???ï¼?

?????³ä?ç»?æµ?ï¼?强è?ç»?æµ?è¡°é??å¾?å¾?????线æ?§ç??ï¼?å¾??¾é??è¿?模å??é¢?æµ?ï¼?ä»??¶è?为æ??ä¸??¡é??å¾???è½???????????è·???ä¸?è¿?ï¼??¶è?äº?件å?导è?´ä¿¡è´·æ?¶ç´§ï¼?ä¼?å½±å??ç»?æµ???

????æ­¤å?ï¼?å½???ï¼?ç¾??½è´¢?¿é?¨é?¿è?¶ä¼¦???ºï???对å?????å¸??ºå?¨è?¡ï????»æ?¿å?并æ???????©å¤§å­?款ä??©è????/STRONG>ï¼???为è???è¦??½ä?ç«?æ³??¹å??ï¼?è´¢æ?¿é?¨å??¾å???¹é?¢é????è¡??¨ã??使å?å¸??ºæ??????åºþ=?ç»???

??????ä»??为ï??????¥ç??ï¼??¶è?é£??©æ?????ç³»ç??§é??©ç??æ¦?????????ï¼?ä½?ä¸???¶è??´äº§??ä¾??¶ä??ºç?°ã???¿æ???¥ç??ï¼?å½????¨ç??ä¾?ç»?ç«????¶å??ç´?è¾?å¤?ï¼??¨æ??????ï¼??¥å????????ºæ????ç»?æµ?ä½?ç³»é?½â??å¹³å???äº???ï¼???æ±?ç«?°±?¾ä»¥???¾æ?¶ç¼©ï¼?????å°±ä?ä¸??¥ã????ä»??计ï????½å¤®è¡???大æ???继续??????????ºæ????ç»?æµ?ä½?ç³»å?ºç?°å??ºå???ºæ?ï¼???æ±?ç«???缩ï?????????ç¼?解ï??¶å????ä¼?å¼????°ä?è½???è´§å?宽æ?¾ã??

?¨é?¨è?è®
??????App
??????å¾???
???????????/>     </div>     <!-- ???°é¡¶? -->     <script src=