??????ä»?½¿?¨â????è½?©±?¨è?产é??ç½???¥â??å¯?????大类èµ?产è?è¡?äº????????¹æ??¨¡??ï¼?å½???å¸??ºç»§ç»??äº????²é??©â???¶æ??ï¼?ä½?é¢?计å?å¾?å¿???????稳å??¿â???¶æ????é¢?è®????¡ç¥¨å°?è¿??¥ä?å¹´ç?äº?ä¸??³é????å¤?çª??£ï??ºå?¸å»¶ç»????¡è??¿ï?????建è??³æ³¨?°äº§?¸å?³å??ç§????þ@?ï¼?4???¨ç??????é£??©è?å±???ä¸?季度GDP??人æ?å¸?æ±???ç­?äº?件å?¼å??³æ³¨??

????????ä»????¨æ?°ç???¹å?建ç?äº?ä¸??½ç????ç»?æµ???????°â????????????????°â??ï¼?并æ????äº???ä¸??é¢?å®?è§?????ï¼??¥è?è¸?¹¶ä¸?é¢????¤æ???ç±»æ????å¤?ç±»è?产价?¼ç??èµ°å?¿å?????¹ã??

????å½???ç»?æµ???????°ä¸ºè´???å¤?äº???ä¸?è¶??¿ï?????ç»?æµ??¢å?è¿?ç¨???å¿???ä½???èµ????¢ç´§å¼?å½±å??ï¼???????????°å?äº?è´??¼ã????ä¸??é¢????°ä¸­ï¼?3??å®??©é?????°ã???¿å?°äº§??????°ã??è´§å?æµ??¨æ?§æ???°å??ä¸?æ¶??ä¿¡ç?¨æ?¡ä»¶???°æ??????è°???

???????¹æ????ä»???模å??ï¼?å½???å¸??ºç»§ç»??äº????²é??©â???¶æ??ï¼?è¿?????为è????¢æ???¶æ?§ç??ç´§å?ï¼?é¢?计å??ç»????????稳å??¿â???¶æ????

?????¨ä?ä¸???模å??è¿??¥â???²é??©â???¶æ??ä¹???ï¼?è¿?ä¸???å¸??ºç»§ç»?»´???¨â???²é??©â???¶æ??å½?ä¸???ä½?????è¦?注æ????????????????????è´??¼å?å°?ï¼?ä»???-0.16ï¼???ä¸?主è?????为è????¢å??ç´§ç?临æ?¶æ?§å??ç´??????¥æ?¥ç??ï¼?ä¿¡è´·????ä¿???稳å?å¢??¿ä?èµ????¢å?¨è·¨å­£æ?¶ç?¹è???????????宽æ?¾ï???以æ??ä»??为é???????????è·??¥è??¼æ?????¶æ?§ç??ï¼???ç»?¤§æ¦???ä¼?????æ­£å?ºé?´ï?å¸??ºç?¶æ?????½ä????°å???°â??稳å??¿â?????¨â??稳å??¿â???¶æ??å½?ä¸???常建è®?????¡ç¥¨èµ?产ã??

??????ä»??ºæ???¢æ?¥ç??ï¼?é¢?计è?¡ç¥¨å°?è¿??¥ä?å¹´ç?äº?ä¸??³é????å¤?çª??£ï??ºå?¸æ??延续???¡è??¿ï?????建è??³æ³¨?°äº§äº§ä??¾ç?¸å?³å??ç§???

????1ï¼??¡ç¥¨ï¼??¨ç??æµ??¨æ?§ç´§ç¼©é???ä¸?ä¿??????¹å·²ç»?ç¡??ï¼?欧ç?????é£??©å?ºç?°æ?¹å??ï¼??½å???ºæ???¢é???ä¸?ä¿??????¹ä???å°?????ç¡??ï¼?é¢?计ä?季度GDP????å¢???.5-5ï¼???A?¡æ??å°???????å¼??¨å¹´ç¬??ä¸??³é????å¤?çª??£ã??

????2ï¼??ºå?¸ï?????驱å?¨ä?涨ç????èµ?产è???????µæ????ç¼?解ï??¿ç?é¢???ä¹?å·²ç?è°??´å?°ä???é¢?è®???å°??ºç?°ç?æµ??ºæ????¿®å¤????©ç©ºä¸?èµ????¢å??¾ç???©å?交ç?ï¼??©ç??????.85ï¼???è¿????¡ã??

????3ï¼?????ï¼?3??30大中??å¸??????¿é?????¢ç§¯??æ¯?å¢???45ï¼?ï¼??¾å¼º?¿ä???????é¢???æ¯?å¢???9.2ï¼????°äº§???????????ç»??§æ??å°?è¶??ºå??ºé???ï¼?????å¸þ@?¨ç?¸å?³äº§ä¸??¾å?????ºç?°å??å¤??ºä???

????????ä»??ä¸?????å¦?ä¸?ä¸?ä¸??è§?äº?件å?¼å??³æ³¨ï¼?

????ç¬??ï¼??³æ³¨?¨ç??????ä½?ç³»ç??é£??©ä?件è?å±???3??ç¾??½ç?è°·é?¶è?????å£?¿¡è´·ç??é£??©ä?件æ???¨ä??¨ç??????å¸??ºï?对ç??½ç?æµ??ºæ??? ¬??ç¾????¨è´§å¸??¿ç????¨ç??æµ??¨æ?§é?½äº§??äº???大影??????ä»??为ç?è°·é?¶è?äº?件å?ä¸??³ä?å¼???2008å¹´é?????±æ?ºè?模ç??大å??é£??©ä?件ã??ä¸?è¿?ä¹?????èµ?????å¿?ç¾??½å?¶ä?ä¸?????¶è???æµ??¨æ?§é??©ï?????å¾·é?¶ç??¶ä??¨ç??大å???????ºæ????é£??©ä?件ã??å¸??ºæ??忧æ????????å¾??°è?ä¸?æ­¥æ??ç¡???

????ç¬??ï¼?ä¸?季度GDP?°æ???????18?¥å??å¸?ï¼???¸®?©å??ºé??å®??¨å¹´ç»?æµ?å¢??¿é?????????ï¼?å¸??ºå?äº?ä¸??½ä?å¹´ç?æµ?å¢??¿ç??é¢???æ¯?è¾?æ··ä¹±??ä»?å¹´ç?æµ??ºæ???¢æ??大ç???????????????¢å?ï¼?主è??¨è?½é?½ä??°å?¨ä?ä¸?季度ï¼???ä¸?ä¸??åºþ>?????å¢??¿æ??å°?æ¯?è¾?平稳????æ­¤ï?ä»?å¹´ä?季度??GDP?°æ??????18?¥å?????ï¼?å¸??ºå?äº??¨å¹´ç»?æµ???é¢?????æ­§å?????大å??¶æ??????ä»??计å??ºå¤§æ¦???å°?ä¸?è°??¨å¹´GDPé¢?????

????ç¬??ï¼?人æ?å¸?æ±??????????????¼ï?ä¸??½è?产ç????ç½?»·?¼å?¸æ?¾ã????ä»??为ç????¨æ????????ç»????????ç¾???æµ??¨æ?§ç´§ç¼©ç?????¹æ?¥è?ï¼?ç¾??????°ç??é«??¹å???½å???·ä¸´è¿??????¶ï?å¦????½å??ç»?æµ?è¿?ä¸?æ­¥è?é¢???ï¼????¨å?¨äººæ°?å¸????????¼é????ï¼?ä¸??½è?产å???½ä?å°??¸å??´å?å¤?èµ???ç½???

??????é£??©å??ç´?ï¼?

?????½å??????????è¶?é¢???ï¼???????å¤?è¶?é¢???ï¼??½é???°ç?å±??¿å??温ã??