涓??剁??ワ???寰?娴峰?椋??╅????/p>

2023-05-14 16:42:00 ?ユ?锛? ?稿?????ョ簿?? 浣???锛? 涓??剁???!--jrj_final_author_end-->

?????稿?缁?璁?/STRONG>

????TMT?瑰??宸茶??ョ?浜?娉㈣?瀵?甯?灞??舵?锛???涓??逛及??涓荤嚎?寸?缁?娴?澶????瑰??锛??虫敞??樊??楂??℃??‘瀹???澶ч???????靛?????变?涓??瑰????锛?
????瑙??瑰??椤?/STRONG>
????
????01甯??虹???规????
????????浠???涓??????绀恒??AI浠ラ??涓鸿???????甯??烘??杩?璺?????锛?椋??╄?浜у???????″??翠????伴???°??璋??磋蛋?裤??褰?????锛?娴峰?椋??╀???寰????撅?缇??藉?哄?′??????碉?涓绘??CDS椋???锛?澶х被璧?浜х???锛?缇??轰环?间?娑ㄦ??浼?杩?涓?姝ュ?插?诲?ㄧ??椋??╄?浜с??姝ゅ?锛?缇??介?挎??????棰?????澶?锛??????跺?藉??涓???惰?涓?椋??╋??界?跺??哄凡杈?????瀹?浠锋??疆???????锛?浣????绂婚???????涓?灏?璺?绂伙?????瑕??挎???╃????涓?琛?锛?浠???甯兀?ㄧ????╃?????姐???藉??缁?娴?浠??ㄥ急澶?????杞ㄩ??涓?锛???缂╅??╁???э?绀捐?????插???斤???涓?瀹?瀛ｈ???у??绱?锛?????涓?琛?锛?甯??跨?浠???瀹芥?剧┖?淬??
????锛?
????骞村??浠ユ?ワ???TMT??涓???涓??逛及???讳????颁氦?夸?娑ㄦ???匡???023骞??″??轰袱?¤?涓虹‘瀹???涓荤嚎??4??涓???互?ワ?TMT浜ゆ????缁??缁??拌?楂?姘村钩锛?骞存?ャ??涓?瀛ｆ?ュ??甯??鸿浆??涓?缁╃‘瀹??э????浜ゆ??锛?浠ュ??娴峰?椋??╅???撅??垮???虹?版???惧???斤???????涓??逛及???ㄦ?跨??????????楠?璇?椹卞?ㄤ?璧板?轰?浼??胯???锛??垮?????ㄤ?浠??ㄦ????杞???浜?澶ч????杞??ㄣ??绔??ㄥ??????剁?癸???浠??涓轰互AI涓轰唬琛ㄧ??TMT?瑰??宸茶??ョ?浜?娉㈣?瀵?甯?灞??舵?锛??瑰????骇涓????跨?????锛????跨┖?村??伴?姒???锛?浣???涓?缁╂???????帮????藉?搴嗀?澶х???瑰??锛?姣?濡??靛???璁＄??鸿?涓?????涓??逛及??涓荤嚎浠??跺?寸?缁?娴?澶????瑰??锛??虫敞??樊??楂??℃??‘瀹???澶ч???????靛?????变?涓??瑰????
????02澶у?夸?椋???/STRONG>
????????澧??垮?ㄨ?戒?瓒筹?绋冲??挎?跨?蹇?瑕??ф?????????????ㄥ?????4??浠戒袱缁?瀹?瑙??版????澶у?浣?浜?姝ゅ??甯??洪?????淇¤捶??浼?涓??哄?哥??澶у????芥????绱???绀捐????涓昏???绱???涓??归???涓?瀛ｅ害淇¤捶???捐??濂???缃??ㄥ???????椤圭????姹?锛??�???归???缁?娴?????澧??垮?ㄨ?戒???寰?????锛?涓?瀛ｅ害澶ч??淇¤捶???捐???锛?淇¤捶??瀹?浣???姹???浼?瀵间???杈?澶х┖?淬??姝ゅ?锛?4??灞?姘??ㄩ?ㄨ捶娆捐?涓?瀛ｅ害?虹?拌?澶у?搴兀???斤??颁骇??????韪┿??灞?姘?????杩?璐锋???跨淮??楂?浣?锛??????板???捶涓?涓??胯捶瑙?妯″????涓????叉???兼按骞炽??缁?娴??????ㄨ?界??娆?缂轰??????ㄩ?????版???锛?4???藉???????ㄩ?㈣蛋浣?锛?CPI涓?PPI涓?浠?寤剁画涓?琛?瓒??匡???姣????涓?琛?骞?搴�??澶ц?甯??烘???棰?????????涓?瀛ｅ害????琛ュ?挎?ч??姹??????撅?缁?娴?澧??块??姝ュ???????ㄨ?戒慨澶?锛???褰???瀹?浣???姹??????ㄨ?界??涓?瓒充技涔?棰?绀虹??绋冲??挎?跨?渚??舵??寰????俱??
????5??甯??烘??浠?澶?浜???杩?璺??舵???浜?涓?浠ユ?ワ?甯??鸿?琛???涓昏??昏?浠?姝ゅ????棰???椹卞?ㄩ?舵??ц?娓″?扮???╃‘瀹??с??杩??ヤ?瀛ｅ害锛?A?¤?涓?杞??ㄥ??蹇??????娴??ㄦ?у???跨?棰???????涓???浼板?兼?????????复?舵??ч???℃?村?恒??涓??归?????澶?娴??ㄦ?ч????虹?拌竟????????涓?瀛ｅ害瓒?寮虹??淇¤捶???鹃??复杈归????褰?锛?璐у??跨?涔?杩??ラ?舵??ц?瀵?绐??ｏ??藉??????甯??烘??ㄦ?х?????复杈归????褰?锛?姝ゅ?锛?瓒?棰???寮哄?茬??缇??¤储?ユ?版?????稿???????寮???甯??洪?舵??х揣缂╂??蹇с???�???归???????涓?瀛ｅ害缁?娴???A?＄???╂?版?????虹??锛???瀛?绔???????帮??????炬??瓒?棰???琛?????????甯??轰富绾垮???锛?AI浜т??鹃?舵??т及?奸?浣?锛???瑕?涓?娈垫?堕?存???棰???锛??夸?涓???瀹?浣???娴峰???姹?璧板急?????涓?锛???璧?绔?慨澶??炬??瓒?棰???锛?甯??哄?浜?????淇????缁??у?????浜?瀛ｅ害甯??洪??兼???虹?伴?舵??у??琛″??杩?绋?锛????╃ǔ瀹??ч????拌?芥?浜т??惧???峰??跨????????ㄥ??娑?璐瑰?琛?涓???杩??ラ?舵??ф?轰???浣??ㄧǔ璐у?瀹戒俊?ㄥ急澶?????瀹?瑙????涓?锛????夸富绾夸?灏???涓哄勾??瓒?棰??剁??涓昏??ユ???
????
????
????
????03涓??琛?涓?涓????锛?锛?锛?锛?锛?锛?锛?锛?锛?锛?锛?锛?锛?锛?锛?锛?锛?
????涓??ㄥ??虹户????涓?????璋??村????搴兀????缁???寸??ｏ?琛?涓????版定灏?璺?澶?锛??????版????搴�??浜?棰???锛?浠ュ???ヨ?棰??????哄?ｆ?版????绀捐?????圭?瀹?瑙??版????娆℃??寤轰?涓?涓?急澶????板?涓?璋?涓????ㄦ???跨?棰???涓?璋?????涓?璋?缁???锛?杩???涓哄??哄??琛?涓?缁????虹?版???捐??寸??涓昏????????�???归???涓??逛及??AI?ㄤ氦?胯疆?ㄥ揩??涓?娑ㄥ???芥????浜т?涓??跨?灞??㈢??杩?涓?姝ュ????锛?涓ゅぇ寮哄?挎?瑰????涓哄?ㄥ勾涓荤嚎??涓??撮???娓???锛?涔???涓哄?剁害?惰?涓?姝ヤ?娑ㄧ????瑕?????涔?涓???锛?
????
????
????骞村??浠ユ?ュ??鸿?涓?杞??ㄧ??涓や釜?瑰???骞村??浠ユ?ョ??琛?涓?杞??ㄧ?瑰?澶т?????ユ???负??涓??″??????杞??ㄢ??锛?杩?涓??″???????????1锛?涓荤嚎-绉???AIGC锛?2锛???嚎-涓??逛及锛?3锛??朵???涓诲??嚎?插?昏?涓???
????绗??涓?疆?ㄧ?瑰?涓轰富绾夸???嚎??浜ゆ?胯疆???涓?娑??锛?1涓?2??杞????锛?涓ゆ?′富绾垮??????浜?瀛???璧???娴??ワ???姝ゆ?瑰????淇?????涓?锛?浣???濂?涓?瀛??ㄤ?瀹?浜ゆ?胯疆?ㄧ?瑰???绗??涓?疆?ㄧ?瑰?涓轰富??嚎璧???娴??ヨ?涓?涓?璧???娴??鸿?涓?涔??寸??璺疯贩?挎??搴?锛?1&锛?2涓?3??杞????锛?
????Chatgpt???拌?骞?澶т?2锛???????浜ゆ???ワ?骞村??浠ユ?ワ?涓???锛?涓??骞冲??娑ㄨ?骞?娉㈠?ㄥ?搴�=??澶х????涓荤嚎琛?涓????????垫?般??瀹剁?点??椋???楗?????娑??????昏?????靛?????ㄣ??姹借溅绛?锛???涓??逛及???版定璺?骞?澶т?0.5锛???????浜ゆ???ヤ腑锛?骞冲??娑ㄨ?骞?娉㈠?ㄥ?搴�=??澶х????涓荤嚎琛?涓????????垫?般??姹借溅??娑?????椋???楗???绛?琛?涓?锛??????ュ害娑ㄨ?骞??稿?虫?ц?搴�=?绠??ョ??锛??翠???瑷?娑?璐逛腑???昏????椋???楗?????娑???锛?绉???涓????垫?般??姹借溅锛?浠ュ??涓?父?虹???宸ャ??寤烘??绛???富瑕?娴??鸿?涓?锛?杩??朵腑?插?绘??涓烘???剧??琛?涓????垫?颁?椋???楗???琛?涓???
??????浠??ㄨ?涓???缃????ュ??5???ラ??寮鸿?锛???缁?娴?缁???????????涓哄?冲?涓ゆ?′富绾垮舰?????稿??昏??????�???归?????AI 琛????惧?ㄦ???崇??瀵瑰??堕?村?洪?磋?借?峰?缁?瀵规?剁?????朵?琛?涓??伴????姣?????????锛???姝ょ????灞??㈠??????褰?楂?浣????⑩??锛?甯??哄?浜???TMT绉???锛?ChatGpt锛???????涓??逛及???ㄥ勾??涓荤嚎??涓??撮?????娓?褰㈡??锛?浣??煎??虫敞???????宸????瑰钩??浼?浣垮?涓诲??嚎璧??辨??搴??村???伴?撅????ュ?板?褰㈡??锛???浠??涓烘???村?板????稿??ㄤ?涓??撮?????瑕?寰??板?烘???㈡?版????楠?璇???浜т??跨???杩?涓?姝ュ????锛???姝わ?瀵逛???缁??舵???瑷?锛?涓??逛及涓?TMT涔??村?烘???㈤?璇?涓?浜т????跨?????瀵艰?寸??涓よ??涔??翠氦?胯疆?ㄥ?煎?淇???瀵???璺?韪???�???归????ョ????楠?璇?澶?浜???绌烘??锛??????????插?绘???剧??瓒?璺?琛?涓?濡??垫?般??椋???楗??????昏??????涓洪?舵??ц?涓???缃???查???┿??
????
????
????
????瀵逛?涓ゅぇ涓荤嚎涓???TMT??????锛???浠??璁や负?ㄥ??????涓?锛?浠??峰???浼???缃??′欢??
????????椋??煎??浼???甯稿?????ㄦ??ㄦ?у??剧??琛伴??????涓??╁?????锛?缁?娴???寮卞?????涓?琛???婕?缁?灏や负绐??恒??2010骞翠互?ワ?????椋??肩?稿?A?″??哄??浼??辨??涓?娈碉???????011骞???-2013骞?????2014骞?0??-2014骞?2????2018骞???-2019骞???锛??朵腑锛?2014骞磋???涓昏??卞???扳??绉?????甯??????????稿??涓诲?锛?2011-2013骞淬??2018-2019骞翠袱杞?????琛???????〃?颁负???????垮??????定??
?????や?2014骞寸???稿??琛???澶?锛?2011-2013骞淬??2018-2019骞翠袱娆￠????琛??????????ㄦ??ㄦ?х?稿?瀹芥?剧??琛伴??????涓??╁????????ㄧ?娴???寮卞???????骞翠唤?村???婕?缁??鸿?涓虹??虹??????椋??艰???锛?濡?2013-2014骞淬??2019骞存???涓哄?稿??????寮卞?????骞翠唤锛?????椋??兼??杈?濂芥定骞?锛???2016骞淬??2020骞翠???骞寸???寮哄?????骞翠唤????椋??艰〃?板???稿?涓?????
????
????澶???涓?杞?????琛???锛?璐у??跨?瀹芥?惧??????绠℃?跨???????????琛?????涓昏?椹卞?ㄥ????
????2011.10-2013.2锛?2011骞翠???骞村?濮?锛??变?娆у?哄?辨?哄??ㄧ??缁?娴?褰㈡????缁???㈠?插?讳互???藉??????楂?浼???璐у??跨??剁揣锛?GDP澧?????缁??琛???2011骞?4锛??????虹?拌竟?????借抗璞★?璐у??跨?寮?濮??峰??惧?ㄦ?′欢锛?11??8?ワ?澶??涓?璋?涓?骞存??澶?エ??琛??╃??锛?璐у??跨?杈归??杞????????堕?惰????颁骇绛?娉?????琛?涓?????绠℃?跨?涔????句??炬?句俊?凤?2012骞村???版?垮?颁骇?跨??ㄥ??Н??璐锋?????璐?????归?㈡????璋??存?惧?锛?2012骞???绗???娆″?ㄥ?介????宸ヤ?浼?璁???? 锛?娓╁?瀹??荤?????衡??????????缁?缁????扳??锛???寮?浜?2012骞撮???????扮??澶у???
????澶???涓炬???????涓?锛?????琛?涓??烘???㈣浆濂斤?2012骞?1绀捐??澧???寮????琛?锛???012骞翠腑淇?璐规?跺?ュ??姣?澧??裤??10骞存???藉?烘?剁????姝㈣?????锛?2012骞?3寮?濮?锛?缁?娴??虹?板????淇″?枫??GDP澧???????锛???013骞村?缁?娴???缁??缁???寮卞?????淇?????裤??
????2014.10-2014.12锛?2014骞寸?娴?琛ㄧ?扮?稿??插急锛??瑰????014骞翠腑寮?濮?锛?PMI涓?琛???宸ヤ?澧????煎??姣????惧???斤?涓烘?????娴?锛?2014骞村ぎ琛??????4????6??涓ゆ?瀹???????锛?骞朵?11????????璐у??跨?涔?澶?锛?2014骞磋?????轰?杩??ヨ桨杞扮???????归?╂氮娼??2014骞???璇???浼??????ㄨ?娉ㄥ???舵?归?╋?9????涓よ?????????╁?锛?11??娌?腐??寮?濮??＄エ浜ゆ??锛?????璧?????????璧???澶ч??杩??猴?????浜?2014-2015骞寸????璧?????甯?????
????????琛?涓??烘???㈡?ョ??锛?2014骞?3-Q4绀捐??????浣??惰?????樊??缁????斤?淇??╀?璐规?跺?ュ??姣?浠?澶?涓?琛??洪?达?10骞存???藉?烘?剁????浠??ㄥ????涓?琛?锛?缂轰??烘???㈡????涔?涓???疆琛???涓??惰???淇??╄?戒???涓?娑ㄤ?骞?搴�=????锛????稿?????捐??????浜?璧?????烘?归?╁????涓???璧?????甯???甯�=?ョ???烘???㈠????锛?琛?涓?娑ㄥ????撅?2014.10-2014.12绱??娑ㄥ?杈?34.2锛???
????2018.6-2019.4:2018骞翠腑缇?璐告???╂?兀??绾э?GDP澧?????缁??琛?锛???姣?澧???.6锛?锛?涓哄??骞存??浣?姘村钩锛?缁?娴?澧??垮?ㄥ??涓?瓒筹?2018骞村??涓哄?绘????璐у??跨?????绋冲?ュ??绱э?骞翠腑澶?????杩?缇????ㄥ?????6??24?ワ?澶??涓?璋?瀛?娆惧??澶?????锛?璐у??跨?杞???瀹芥?俱??
????????琛?涓??烘?????锛?2018骞?1绀捐??澶у?涓?琛??冲勾??Е搴???寮癸?Q3-Q4淇?璐规?跺?ュ??姣?????锛?浣?10骞存???藉?烘?剁????浠?澶?浜?涓?琛??洪?达?2019骞寸?娴????扳??寮卞?????淇?????匡????????垮????定??
????
????
????锛?
????????椋??煎?寰?涓????块??肩?镐即锛???涓よ????琛ㄧ?板?轰?瀹?????璺疯贩?库????搴???2010骞翠互?ョ??涓?杞?????琛????????????ㄦ??011骞?2013骞淬??2014骞淬??2018骞?2019骞达?涓????块??兼???惧??浼???2013-2015骞淬??2019-2021骞村??ㄦ???剧??????锛?杩???????涓轰袱绫诲???峰????浜?娴??ㄦ?у??剧????????浣????讹?????椋??间互澶х????绛逛负涓伙????块??间互涓????涓轰富锛?涓ょ被椋??煎?ㄨ???灞??㈣〃?板?轰????剧????璺疯贩?库????搴?锛???璁烘???ㄩ????椋??间富琛???杩??????块??肩??涓昏???锛??洪?翠????????版?娑?褰奸?挎???裤??
????
????2023骞寸?娴????扳??寮卞????????匡??????垮????复璐у?瀹芥?句???涓??逛及???跨?????????锛?????椋??煎?峰?涓?瀹???缃??′欢??
????04涓??ㄥ??烘?昏???缁???琛ㄧ?板?????硅拷韪?/STRONG>
????4???????版?????????斤?绀捐????淇¤捶??浣?浜?甯??洪?????2023骞???11?ワ?澶?????浜?2023骞???浠界??????缁?璁℃?版???锛?1锛?M2??姣?澧???2.4锛?锛?澧???杈?3????????.3涓??惧???癸?锛?2锛?M1??姣?澧???.3锛?锛?澧???杈?3????????0.2涓??惧???癸?锛?3锛??板?浜烘?甯?璐锋?7188浜匡???姣?澶?澧?649浜匡?锛?4锛?2023骞?????ぞ浼???璧?瑙?妯″???涓?59.95涓?浜垮??锛???姣?澧???0锛???
????M1 澧?????缁??杩凤?M2 ??姣?瓒?棰??????姐??4??M2 ??姣??告?涓????剁?0.3 涓??惧???逛????蜂?浜?甯??洪?????涓?涓????诲勾????M2 ?烘?拌蛋楂?锛??撮??瑕?????????M2 ??纭?急浜?涓???锛??轰????ㄩ?ㄥ?娆捐?搴�??涓???锛?杈归???ョ??锛?????璐㈡?挎???虹????搴兀???芥????涓?????M1 ??姣?澧???.3锛?锛?澧????告?涓?????蹇??0.2 涓??惧???癸?浣?浠??朵?浜?杈?浣?姘村钩锛???娆″?拌???浜х??ヨ?寰?淇????M1-M2 澧???宸??舵??0.5 涓??惧???硅??7.1锛???
????
????
????淇¤捶澧??夸?杩凤?淇¤捶??姹????戒?绋炽??澶???版???剧ず锛?涓?瀛ｅ害浜烘?甯?璐锋?澧???10.6涓?浜垮??锛???姣?澶?澧?2.27涓?浜垮???????ㄩ?ㄧ??锛?浣??疯捶娆惧???1.71涓?浜匡?浼?锛?浜?锛?涓???浣?璐锋?澧???.99涓?浜垮??锛???浜烘?甯?璐锋??板???84.8锛???瀵瑰?浣?缁?娴????剧??浜烘?甯?璐锋?浣?棰?涓?24.4涓?浜垮??锛???姣?澧???1.7锛?锛?瀵瑰?浣?缁?娴????剧??浜烘?甯?璐锋?浣?棰???????绀句???璧?瑙?妯″?????62.3锛?锛???姣?楂?0.9涓??惧???广???煎?娉ㄦ????????ㄥ?姘?瀛?娆惧??灏??????讹?灞?姘?璐锋?涔??ㄥ??灏???澶???版???剧ず锛?4??浜烘?甯?璐锋?澧???7188浜垮??锛???姣?澶?澧?649浜垮???????ㄩ?ㄧ??锛?浣??疯捶娆惧??灏?2411浜垮??锛??朵腑锛?????璐锋???灏?1255浜垮??锛?涓??挎??璐锋???灏?1156浜垮????2023 骞村ぎ琛????戒?涓?缂寸?瀛??╂鼎锛???????姣??烘?版??????淇¤捶???捐??濂????芥?剧?锛?M2 ??姣?瓒?棰??????姐??4 ??绀捐??澧???10.0锛?锛?涓?瀛ｅ害淇¤捶??澶т??????炬??瀵瑰??缁?俊璐峰舰??涓?瀹??????绀捐??娑ㄥ?垮???姐??????骞崇ǔ?舵????ゆ?浠ュ?锛??剁???????垮?颁骇璋??х???绱?褰卞??锛?浠?2022骞村勾涓??濮?锛?淇¤捶???句技涔??村??渚?璧??垮??稿?宠捶娆撅??瑰????ぇ???惰????跨??ч?惰???涓轰俊璐锋???剧??涓昏???????棰?璁℃?板?淇¤捶椤圭???ㄥ?浼???灏?锛??哄缓淇¤捶??姹????借蛋寮憋?涓?汉????杩?璐风???拌薄浠??ㄦ??缁???讳?涓?璐锋???姹???寮便??
????4??涓?汉瀛?娆句???锛???璐㈣?妯″凡????澧??块??????浠?骞???瀛?娆惧??灏???骞堕????浣?锛?渚?濡?2021骞???瀛?娆惧??灏?7252浜垮??锛?2021骞???瀛?娆惧??灏?11300浜垮??锛?浠?灞?姘?瀛?娆炬?版????锛?浠?骞???瀛?娆惧??灏???涔?骞堕????浣?锛?渚?濡?2021骞???灞?姘?瀛?娆惧??灏?15700浜垮??锛?2021骞???灞?姘?瀛?娆惧??灏?13600浜垮??锛?2021骞?0??灞?姘?瀛?娆惧??灏?12100浜垮????涓?汉瀛?娆句???涓昏????变?涓?汉澧?????璐㈠??????杩?璐风???4??涓?汉瀛?娆句???浜?1.2涓?浜匡?涓昏????变?褰???涓?汉澶у?涔板?ワ?浣垮???璐㈣?妯″???浜?1.2涓?浜夸互涓?锛??兀?锛?涓?汉???胯?璐锋?2411浜垮????姝ゅ?锛?涓?汉??缃???╁???哄?哥?浜у????浠???姣??版????锛?浠?骞???灞?姘?瀛?娆惧??灏?1.2涓?浜匡???姣?澶???杩?5000浜垮?????变???涓??惰??ㄥ?搴�=???????插?娆剧????瑕?锛??辨?瀛?娆惧?ㄥ?搴�=?????????绗????浠??惰?娴??猴???杞?负??璐㈢?锛?涔?杈?涓烘?甯革?灏ゅ?舵???ㄦ?骞粹??寮??ㄧ孩?????淬??
????
????
????
????05椋??╂??绀?/STRONG>
???????ㄦ???跨?涓???棰???锛???????灞?瓒?棰????跺????

?抽?????璇伙? ??寰?娴峰?椋??╅????/a>

璐ｄ换缂?杈?锛???寒

绮惧僵?ㄨ??

??杞芥?村?
宸茬??板?浜?

?ㄩ?ㄨ?璁

?轰????

?烘???垫?????杩?杩?锛??垫?浼?涓????浣?绌哄??猴?瀹?缇?濂???eVTOL甯??洪??姹?

娴疯?甯??烘??璧封??娑ㄤ环娼???锛?涓?娴锋腐??瀹?娉㈡腐?ㄥ???瑰?稿?虹?板ぇ??渚?搴?绱т????

?藉?￠?㈠??璇?锛??ㄥ?ㄥご?ㄨ??稿???稿??寮哄??浼?锛?涓?俊璇??搞???借??璇??搞??涓??硅储瀵?绛?涓?绫诲?稿????????

涓??剁??ワ???寰?娴峰?椋??╅????/p>

??浜??板井淇?/h3>