ä¸?¿¡è¯??¸ï?é¢?è®?季度GDP??æ¯?å¢???.0%ï¼??¨å¹´GDP??æ¯?å¢???.9%

??????丨æ?¨å? ç¨?å¼ å´?åµ? ????? äº?ç¿?

??????西é?å¨? ??å¸??? ??ç¿? ???¥å½¤

?????¥è? ??è¾ ??系人ï¼?é»???

????2023å¹´æ??´¯å½»è?½å?äº???大精ç¥???å¼?å±?ä¹?å¹´ï?é«?è´¨é????å±????¨é?¢å»ºè®¾ç¤¾ä¼?主ä??°ä»£???½å???é¦?è¦?ä»»å?¡ï?ä¸??½å?ä¹?ä¹?为å??ï¼?ä¸??§å??å¤??°å???继续?´æµª??è¡???

?????½é???¹é???ç¾??½ä¸ºé¦?????è¾¾ç?æµ?ä½?ç»?æµ?å¢??¿æ??¾ç?²æ??ï¼?????????ä»?å­?ï¼??????¨æ??ä¹?è¿??¥å°¾å£°ï?ä½?2024å¹´â??è¶?级大??å¹´â??临è?ï¼?æ½??¨å??¨é????°å?¨é??æ­¥å?å¤???ä¸??½å?¨æ?°ç???¨è?¡å???©æ????ç»???å¼?å¤?交æ?°å??????ä¸?å¸þ??è·???å³°ä?????¨å?³ï?ä¸??½å?¨â????????ä½???é¢???å°???ç»?·±????ä½???

?????½å???¹é????¸è?äº??????ºæ?ï¼??¿ç?å±?ä¿???å®???ï¼?强è?以æ?¹é?©ä???å±???建è?é«?åºþ@?³æ³¨é¢?计å??0??åº??????ç¬????å±?ä¸?ä¸??¨ä???ä»??¿ç??¥ç??ï¼??°ä?è½??½è??½ä??¹é?©å·²ç»????????ä¸??¹ä¼°???©å??å¤??ä¼°å?¼é??å¡?ï¼???????管æ???ºæ???¹é?©é???¹ï?建è?é«?åºþ@?³æ³¨ç¬?????¨å?½é????å·¥ä?ä¼?è®??é¢?计å????þB??©é?²è????强å??????æ²»ç??ï¼?欧ç??碳边å¢?ç¨??½å?°å????¼æ???½ç¢³ä»·æ?ºå?¶è½¬??ï¼????µå??å¸??ºå???¹é?©ä?å°?????ï¼?é¼??±æ??¥ç?æµ????©å¤§å¯¹å?å¼??¾å·²????稳å?é¢???ï¼???ç»???ºå?°æ?´å??¿ç?稳ä?å°±ä?è¿?ä¸???大æ?????ä»?ç»?æµ?è¿?è¡??¥ç??ï¼???è¦?正确认è?ç»?æµ?ä¿??è¿?ç¨?ä¸??ºç?°ç???¶æ??§å??????é¢?计ä?季度ä¸??½ç?æµ?å°?è¿??¥ä¸»?¨è¡¥åº?å­??¨æ??ï¼?å·¥ä???ä»·æ?¼æ??å°?èµ°å?ºâ????缩â??ï¼?æ°??´æ??èµ?ä¹???????ç»??¢å???

??????ä»??¤æ???ä»?å¹´ä???ä¸?????季度ï¼?å½?å­?DP??????æ¯?å¢???.0ï¼???5.2ï¼???5.8ï¼?ï¼??¨å¹´GDP??æ¯?å¢???.9ï¼?ï¼?å®??°ä¸¤å¹´å¹³???£å?4.4ï¼???ä¸???å¢??¿ï?ä»???顺å?©å??°ã???¿å?å·¥ä??¥å??????????ï¼?并为??å¹´ç??ä¸?空é?´ã????好å?ºç???

??????æµ·å?ç»?æµ??¨è?½æ??è¿?ä¸?æ­¥å??å¼±ï????½å?交å?继续å¼????°å???

????2023å¹´ä???å¹´ï?æµ·å?ç»?æµ?å¢??¿å?¨è?½æ??å°?è¿?ä¸?æ­¥å??å¼±ï??»é????è¿?ç¨???ç»????å¥???å°??¾ç???ç¾??½ç?æµ?å·²å?äº??©å?尾声ä¸?æ¸??¾ç?²æ??ï¼?ä¸???å¹´æ?è´¹é??æ±??§æ?§é?¾ä»¥è´?©¿?¨å¹´ï¼?é¢?计ä?ä¸?季度??????季度??ç¾??½å?è¿??¥æ?è¡°é????欧å???ºè?½æ??±æ?ºå????è¶?ç¼?ï¼?????½±???¥æ????¾ï??¶ç?æµ?ç»???对å?©ç??æ¯?ç¾??½æ?´æ????ï¼?ç»?æµ??????ç¡???§æ?´é???è´§å??¿ç?ä¸?ï¼?é¢?计ç?????????æ­¢æ??½®?????¨æ??ï¼?欧央è¡?ä»???2次å??25bps????©º?´ï??¥æ??¤®è¡?å­??¨è??´å??¾æ?¿ç??????½æ?§ã??

?????¨ç??å®??¨æ²»???°å???ç»??ç»?ï¼?2023年以?¥å?¨ç???°ç??¿æ²»?¼å???????è£????¹å?è¿?ä¸?æ­¥å?¸æ?¾ã???¢å?å¤??????¨ç??å±??¿ï?é¢?计中?½å?ä¿???ä¸?è´??????¥å???ï¼?ç§???建è?è¦????¨ç????ä¼?ä¼´å?³ç³»ç½?ç»?ï¼??¨å?¨å»ºè®¾å??¾å??ä¸???ç»?æµ?ï¼??¨æ?°ç???¨è?¡å???©æ??ä¸???°å?交ç?´å???ä¸??¹é?????ä¸?å¸þ??è·???å³°ä?????¨å?³ï?é¢?计â????????ä½?????ç»?·±??ï¼?以æ???½å????²é??©ä¸º??è·????ç»???ä¸?å¸þ??è·?????ä½?å°????þ@?¨è?½æ?èµ?æº?å®??¨ã??ç²??å®??¨ã???ºç?设æ?½ã??æ¸?æ´??½æ????°å?ç»?æµ???人æ?å¸????ç­?é¢??????þ???¹é???????2024å¹´â??è¶?级大??å¹´â??临è?ï¼?ä¸??½å?°æ¹¾?°å?ºã??ä¿?ç½?????ç¾??½ç????举å???ç»??å¼?ï¼?æ½??¨ç??å¤??¨é????°å?¨æ????æ­¥å?å¤???

??????é«?è´¨é????å±???ç»??¨è?ï¼?ä¸??½å??°ä»£??起好步ã??å¼?好å?ï¼?ä¹?ä¹?为å????

????ä»?年度??ï¼???ä»??为ï?åº?该é?åºþ@?³æ³¨é¢?计å??0??åº??????ç¬????å±?ä¸?ä¸??¨ä?ï¼?è¿?å°????¹é?©å??¾ç???°èµ·?¹ï?ä½??°é?¿æ???¿ç????°æ??è·???ä»?è¿?????ï¼??³ä½¿?¢å?并ä??¢å?ºç??ç»?æµ?å¤???ï¼??¿ç?å±?ä»??¶ä???å®???ï¼?强è???ç»?¨³å®?é¢???ï¼??©å¤§???¢å?????ï¼?å¤??¨æ?¹é?©ç????段å??°é?è´¨é????å±?ï¼?ä¹?ä¹?为å?????·ä??¥ç??ï¼?

????1ï¼?产ä??¿ç??¹é?????????è¿??°è?½æ?è½þ??乡ç??¹å??©å???©å¤§????ï¼?????å±??°å?ç»?æµ???ç¡????çª??´å???°ã???¶é??ä¸?绿è?²æ???¹å????建å?¶é??ä¸?产ä???群æ???¿ç?????????ä¸??¹å??ï¼?ä¹???¸­?½æ?????°ä»£??产ä?ä½?ç³»ç???³é????

????2ï¼??½ä??¹é?©æ?¹é???äº???大å???½è?å§??¨ä?é¢?é¢?ï¼???ä¸??¹ä¼°?????????ºæ?¹é?©ä??½è??½ä??¹é?©ç??ç»???ï¼???è¿?ä¼?ä¸????©è?½å???¹å??????æ·±å??ºæ?????å¼?导é?¿çº¿èµ???ç­?å¤?ç§??¹å?ï¼??©å??å¤??ä¼°å?¼é??å¡?ï¼?ä½??°å???¨ä»·?¼ï??¹å?????¸æ²»????

????3ï¼???????管æ?¹é????ºæ?????½ç??è°??´é??常带?¥æ?¿ç??ºå?¶ç??å®?????ç¬?????¨å?½é????å·¥ä?ä¼?è®???äº?2023å¹´å???ï¼??¨è?????é¢???????败治????å®??????§å???¸ç??管ã??çª??ºä¸­å°??¶è??¹é?©å???©ç????½æ???次ä?è®??????¹ã??

????4ï¼??½æ?è½????¹é???欧ç??碳边å¢?ç¨?ï¼?CBAMï¼??½å?°ï???å°?对æ???½é?¢é???????²ã??å¡???ç­?产å???ºå?£é?????²å?»ï????¼æ???½è?½æ?ä½?系转??ä¸?碳价?ºå?¶å½¢???????½ç?µå??å¸??ºå???¹é?©å?????¹å?³æ³¨?°è´§å¸??ºå??è¾??©æ???¡å??ºå»ºè®¾ã??绿è??¶åº¦?¹é?©ã??å®??????¶ç?µä»·??ä¼????µä»·ç»?????

????5ï¼?社ä?æ°????¹é???é¼??±æ??¥ç?æµ????©å¤§å¤?èµ?å¼??¾ä»¥??????ç»?ä¸?大å??ºæ????稳å?é¢???ï¼???ä¿?è¿??±å??å¯?è£?è¡??¨çº²è¦???????äº?å¹´å????å¸?????????稳就ä¸?å¤????¿ç?å±??³æ³¨ï¼?å®??????????°å?å°±ä?1200ä¸?人左?³ï?????è°??¥å¤±ä¸???5.5ï¼?å·þ@?³â??????????è¦???ç»???????

??????建è?正确认è?ç»?æµ?ä¿??è¿?ç¨?ä¸??ºç?°ç???¶æ??§å??????

????å½???ç»?æµ?ä¿??ä¸???äº?è¿??»ä?å¹´æ??????å½±å????份æ?¶ç??????ç®???ä¿??ï¼???????对中?¿æ???°å??å±??¼å?ä¸?主å?¨å???»è???????产é??å¸?å±?????æ±???è°??´ï????æµ??¨ä?ç»?产ä?ä¼?????级ã???°ä»£äº§ä?ä½?ç³»å?¹è?²ã????å°±ä????¶å?¥ã??æ¶?è´¹â??å¾????????¨ä¸­??正常???µã????ç»??计å???¹é?¢å????å°?èµ°å????è¡¡ç?¶æ??ï¼?å½¢æ???´é?æ°´å¹³???°ç?æµ???è¡¡ã??

?????»å?å­??????å·¥ä??¨é?¨â????缩â?????©æ¶¦ä¸?æ»?????è¦???????ä¸??½ä?2022å¹???å¼?å§?è¿??¥æ??½®?»å?å­??¨æ??ï¼?????å¤?äº?è¢??¨å?»å?å­??¶æ??????§å???²ä?åº?å­??¨æ??????ç»??¶é?¿æ?¨æ???é¢?计ä?å¹´ä?季度ä¸??½ç?æµ?å°?è¿??¥ä¸»?¨è¡¥åº?å­??¨æ??ï¼?å·¥ä???产å?????è¿??¥ä?è½??è¡??¨æ??ï¼?ä¸?å·¥ä???ä»·æ?¼æ??å°?èµ°å?ºâ????缩â????

????æ°??´æ??èµ???ä½?ä¹??????ç»?æµ?????å¼±ç????ï¼?ä»?å¹?-4?????½æ??´æ??èµ?å¢???ä»?0.4ï¼?ï¼?è¿?ä½?äº??´ä??ºå?èµ?产æ??èµ?4.7ï¼???å¢???????ä»??为ï?ä¸??½å?æ°??´æ??èµ?å¢??¿æ?¢ç???å½???äº??????¶å·®å¼?ï¼?è¡?ä¸?å±??§å½±??ä¹?å¾?大ã???°äº§??èµ?ä½?è¿·ï?ä¸??游ä?ä¸??©æ¶¦è¢???缩å???µå????»è??º§ä¸??¨æ??ä½?è°·ç???ç´??¾è????ç´??æ°??´æ??èµ???å®???ä¸?æ°??´æ??èµ?ä¹?ä¸?ä¹?äº??¹ï??µå?¨è½¦????ä¼????¥è§¦?§æ???¡ä???èµ???????为活è·????????°ä?ä¸??游ä?ä¸??©æ¶¦??å¸?è¶??¿ï???ä»??计ä???å¹´å?å§?æ°??´æ??èµ?å°???æ­¥æ?¢å???

??????é¢?è®?023å¹?DPå¢???.9ï¼?ï¼?å®???????ä¸?为æ??å¹´ç??ä¸?空é?´ã????好å?ºç???

??????ä»?»¼???¤æ???å¹?DP??æ¯?å¢???.9ï¼?ï¼?å®??°ä¸¤å¹´å¹³???£å?4.4ï¼???ä¸???å¢??¿ã??é¢???ä»?å¹´ä???ä¸?????季度ï¼?å½?å­?DP??????æ¯?å¢???.0ï¼???5.2ï¼???5.8ï¼????·ä?????é¢?æµ?ï¼?

????1ï¼?æ¶?è´¹æ?¹é???å¤?????æ¸?ä»????¡æ?©æ?£å?°å????ï¼?é¢?计å?¨å¹´ç¤¾é?¶å???ï¼??????????¡é??æ±?ç§?????åº???æ­¥é???¾ï????????¶å?¥æ?´å?侧é??????æ¶?è´¹ï?建è??³æ³¨?°äº§?¾ã??汽车æ¶?费边???¹å??è¶??¿ã??

????2ï¼???èµ??¹é???继续???¥ç¨³å¢??¿å???±ç?³ä????并å???°å??????¥ä?ç»???é¢?è®?023å¹´å?ºå?èµ?产æ??èµ?å¢???ä¸?.6ï¼?ï¼?ç»???ä¸?表ç?°ä¸º???ºå»º???¶é??ä¸?é«???å¢??¿ï??¿å?°äº§??èµ?å¢?????æ­¥ä?稳â????

????3ï¼??ºå?£æ?¹é???å¢??¿æ??ä¸?å®?????ï¼???ä¸?å¸þ??è·????½å?为亮?¹ã??é¢?计ç?欧é??æ±?è¿?å°??¾ç?è¿??¥è¡°???¶æ??ï¼?ä½???ä¸?å¸þ??è·????°å?´å?½å?对å?ºå?£æ???????¾ï?å¹´å???ºå?£æ????å®??°å?å¹?æ­£å??¿ã??

????4ï¼?å·¥ä???产æ?¹é???é¢?计å??»ä?ä¿???稳å?ï¼??°å?¨è?½å?é¢?ä½??¨æ??ç»???强ã????½®?»å?å­??¶æ?å·²æ??ç»?º¦13ä¸???ï¼?å¹´å??å·¥ä???产æ??å°????°ç¨³å®?å¤???è¶??¿ï?å·¥ä?å¢????¼æ????å¢???.3ï¼???

????5ï¼????¡ä??¹é????½å??°è????¾å???ï¼??¥è§¦???????????¡ä?表ç?°æ?´ä½³ï¼?é¢?è®?023å¹´å?¨å¹´???¡ä?å¢????¼å?????ï¼?å·þ@?³ã??

????6ï¼?ä»·æ?¼æ?¹é???å¹´å??CPI??PPI??æ¯?读æ?°æ??ç»´æ???¸å?ä½?ä½???é¢?è®?PI??PPI?¨å¹´??æ¯????¼å????¸º0.7ï¼???-2.1ï¼?ï¼?ä¸???å¹´é?计å??å°?å¼?å§?ä¼?稳å??????

????7ï¼?å®?è§??¿ç??¹é???é¢???è´¢æ?¿æ?»ä??¿å??è¿?è¡?ï¼?建è??³æ³¨ä¸???å¹´è´¢??????çª??£æ??ï¼?è´§å??¿ç??¹é???é¢???ä¸?季度ï¼?以é?????¹å?????ç»?æµ??¢å?ï¼???社è????M2å¢??????½ç»§1季度é«?å¢???å°?å¹????½ã??

??????é£??©å??ç´?ï¼?

?????°ç??¿æ²»é£??©ï?ç¾??½ç?æµ?è¡°é??è¿?å¿???½å???¿ç??½å?°ä???é¢???ï¼??½å??æ°??´æ??èµ???ç»?????å±?æ°?æ¶?è´¹æ??ç»??è¿·ã??

?¨é?¨è?è®