????å®?è§?5???????°æ???¹è?ï¼?PPIäº?å£åº¦??ç?åº?ï¼???ç»?????å¹?åºþ=????å¼?/p>
??????ï¼?????è¯??¸ç??究æ?????¿å?©ç?? ??é¦?å¸??è§?????å¸? å¼???
??????系人ï¼?ä»??¥ç??
????��/p>
????5??CPI??æ¯?0.2ï¼?ï¼?é¢???0.3ï¼?ï¼?????.1ï¼?ï¼??¸å?CPI??æ¯?0.6ï¼?ï¼?????.7ï¼?ï¼?PPI??æ¯?-4.6ï¼?ï¼?é¢???-4.3ï¼?ï¼?????3.6ï¼???
?????¸å?è§???/p>
????ä»?å®?è§???å¾??两个è§?è§??¤æ???PPI??æ¯?ä»?大æ???ä¼???-6??份å???ç?åº?ï¼?ä½?ä¸???å¹´å????å¹?åºþ@???½å??ä½?ï¼????²ä???ï¼???类似äº?2013å¹´ã??
?????¥å????è¦?
????PPIç?åº?ä¸?/p>
????å®?è§?è§?è§???ï¼?ä»?1??æ¯???ç¾??????°æ??建ç??é¢??????°é?示ï?PPI??æ¯????¨ä?å£åº¦ç?åº?ï¼?ä½???ç»?????å¹?åºþ@???½å??å¼±ï????²ä???ï¼???类似äº?2013å¹´ã??
????M1ä»????è§?å±??¢æ????????å·¥ä?????????é¢???????ï¼?ç»?éª?ä¸?ï¼?M1??æ¯?é¢???PPI??æ¯?9ä¸???å·þ@?³ï??¶é?»è??¨ä?ä¼?ä¸?åº?å??¨æ?????°äº§?¨æ????ä¸??¹é???M1??»¥??解为ä¼?äº?ä¸???ä½?????æµ??¨æ?§è????????¿ï?代表ä¼?ä¸??¨ä?ç»??¥å?¨è½¬???°é??æµ?ï¼?é¢???å·¥ä?ä¼?ä¸?åº?å??¨æ??ä¸?ä¸??åºþ@·¦?³ã???þ???¹é???M1ä¸??????¿é????????ºæ????´ï??????¿é????»£è¡¨å?æ°?èµ?????ä¼?ä¸?èµ???è½?????ç»?æµ?è¡?为ï?å±?æ°?è´??¿æ????¿ä?å¼???èµ???主è??¥æ?ï¼?????¸¦?¨å?°äº§??èµ?ï¼?è¿???å½±å???°äº§ä¸?ä¸?游价?¼ã??
????æ¤å?ï¼?PPIä¸?ç¾??????°å???????????ç»?éª?ä¸?ï¼?ç¾??????°é?????å¹´å·¦?³ã??计价??ç´???ï¼??½é??大å?????主è?以ç???计价ï¼?ç¾???ä¸?è¡??¶ï?大å?????ä»·æ?¼è¡¨?°æ?¿å??ï¼?æµ??¨æ?§å??¢ç??ï¼?ç¾???æµ??¨æ?§æ?¶ç´§ä¹?ä¼????¶å¤§å®???ä»·æ?¼ä?è¡?ï¼???ä¹?äºþ>?¶ã??
????å¾??è§?è§???ï¼?ä¸?å£åº¦ç¿?å°¾å??ç´???ç´??大å?ç¼?解ï???PI??????主è??¨å????
????ä»?7??å¼?å§?ï¼?PPIç¿?å°¾å??ç´?å°????¾æ?¶ç???7??ï¼?ç¿?å°¾å??ç´?å°?ä»?-2.8ï¼???????1.5ï¼?ï¼?ä»?å¹?1??4ï¼?ç¿?å°¾å??ç´?????¸º-1.1ï¼???-2.7ï¼???-0.7ï¼???-0.3ï¼??????????½å??ç»?æµ?å¼±å??????±è???æ¥è?????ç»???????ä¸?è½?¤§å¹?ä¸?è·???ï¼?6??以æ?¥ï??¤ç?????ºçº¹ä»·æ?¼å·²??ä¼?稳迹象ç???³ç?¥æ??????ï¼???æ²¹å?????²ä»·?¼ä??¥æ????å¼¹ã????设ä?游大å®?ä»·æ?¼ä???è¿?ä¸?æ¥ä??????ç»?PI?????å¹³ç????å½??ï¼? PPI??æ¯??¨ä?????å£åº¦å°??¶ç???2.4ï¼???-2.1ï¼?ï¼??¥å??ç»??????å¢???.2ï¼?ï¼???æ¯??¨ä?????å£åº¦???½æ?¶ç???1.9ï¼???-0.9ï¼???
?????°æ??¿°è¯?ï¼?
????CPI??æ¯?读æ?°ç?¥æ??????ï¼?ä½??¸å?????ä¾??¶ç?²è½¯??ä»?年以?¥ï?CPI??æ¯?读æ?°ä?ä¸?å£åº¦??1.3ï¼?ä¸?è¡???-5??份ç??0.2ï¼?ï¼??ºæ??????????äº??»å¹´é£???项å???½æ?ä»·æ?¼å??é«?????ç´?????????¸å?CPI??æ¯??????0.8ï¼????½è??.7ï¼???ä¸?è¿?ï¼??¨ç????å¤??????????ï¼??¸å???????表ç?°ä??¶è?å·??ä½??°ç????????ä¿????ç»????§å????ï¼????¨å????æ±?å¼±å????年失ä¸???????¶çº¦?¸å???????主è???ç´?ï¼??¥è§¦????è¡¥æ?§æ???¡ä»·?¼ç??è¶?å£è???§ä?涨ä??¨æ??ç»??ä½?è¶?涨å?åºþA?ä½?ä¸?????å°?ï¼?æ£å?????¨æ??????CPI???ä¸???0.2ï¼?ï¼?èµ°å?¿ä??¨å????§å?ºé?´å??ï¼?é£???ä¸??????????ä»·æ?¼å??ä¸?è·?ï¼???é£???ä¸?????¨å?????¿ç?ä»·æ?¼ä?è·?è¾?为æ???¾ã??
????PPI???????è·?å¹??????©å¤§??5??PPI??æ¯?è·?å¹??©å¤§ï¼?ä¸??¹é?¢æ???½å??å¤?å·¥ä???å¸??ºé??æ±??»ä???å¼±ï?è¿???以æ?¥ä?游大å®?????ä»·æ?¼æ????ä¸?è¡?ï¼??þ???¹é?¢å?????»å¹´é«??ºæ?°ç??å½±å??ï¼??»å¹´?????¤ç??????æ²¹å??é»??²ä»·?¼å??å¤?äº?é«?ä½???PPI???ä¸???0.9ï¼?ï¼??½é??å®?ä»·ç????æ²¹å?????²é?¾æ?¡è?ä¸?ï¼??½å??å®?ä»·ç???¤ç????é»??²é?¾æ?¡è?ä¸?ï¼??ºå?£å?????è£?å¤??¶é??è¡?ä¸?ï¼?汽车???µæ???计ç??ºç?µå?ç?ï¼?ä»·æ?¼å?±æ??µ°å¼±ã?????????°æ????30ä¸??ä¸?ä¸??ä»?4ä¸??æ¶??è¿?ä¸?æ¯?ä¾?è§þ@??2013å¹´æ???°æ??»¥?¥ç?????²ä?ä½?ï¼???两æ???020å¹?????3ä¸???2015å¹´ä???å¹´ç??2ä¸???
????é£??©æ??示ï??½å??ç»?æµ?ä¿??å½¢å?¿ä»¥??欧ç?ç»?æµ???è´§å??¿ç???ä¸?ç¡???§ã??
?????¥å?????
?????¥å??æ£æ??
????ä¸???5???????°æ??¿°è¯?
????ï¼?ä¸?ï¼?CPIï¼??´ä?读æ?°ç?¥æ??????ï¼?ä½??¸å??????²è½¯
????5??CPI??æ¯?å°?å¹???????.2ï¼?ï¼?ä½?äº?å¸??ºé?????0.3ï¼?ï¼??¸å?CPI??æ¯?ä¸?.6ï¼?ï¼?????.1ä¸??¾å???¹ã??ä»?年以?¥ï?CPI??æ¯?读æ?°ä?ä¸?å£åº¦??1.3ï¼?ä¸?è¡???-5??份ç??0.2ï¼?ï¼??ºæ??????????äº??»å¹´é£???项å???½æ?ä»·æ?¼å??é«?????ç´?????????¸å?CPI??æ¯??????0.8ï¼????½è??.7ï¼???ä¸?è¿??¨ç????å¤??????????ï¼??¸å?????è¿?ä¸?表ç?°ä??¶è?å·??ä½??°ç????????ä¿????ç»????§å????ï¼????¨å????æ±?å¼±å????年失ä¸???????¶çº¦?¸å???????主è???ç´?ï¼??¥è§¦????è¡¥æ?§æ???¡ä»·?¼ç??è¶?å£è???§ä?涨ä??¨æ??ç»??ä½?è¶?涨å?åºþA?ä½?ä¸?????å°?ï¼?æ£å?????¨æ??????
??????ç±»å????ï¼?é£???ä»·æ?¼å??æ¯?ä¸?ï¼?ï¼?????.4ï¼????¶ä¸ï¼?禽è????é£??¨æ²¹??é²???ä»·æ?¼ç??涨å????????½ï?????ä»·æ?¼ç?±æ¶¨è½??ï¼?é²???ä»·æ?¼é??å¹????¾æ?¶ç?ï¼?ç²????水产??ä»·æ?¼å?ºæ??¨³å®?????é£???ä»·æ?¼å??æ¯??¶å??¿ï?????.1ï¼?????é£???ä¸?????¡ä»·?¼ä?æ¶?.9ï¼?ï¼?è¾?ä¸???????.1ä¸??¾å???¹ï?é£??ºç¥¨????游å??交é??å·¥å?·ç?èµ?费价?¼æ¶¨å¹??????????½ï?å·¥ä?æ¶?è´¹å??ä»·æ?¼ä???1.7ï¼?ï¼???å¹??©å¤§0.2ä¸??¾å???¹ï?主è???±½è½þ@??????ä»·æ?¼ç??è·?å¹?è¿?ä¸?æ¥å??æ·±ã??
????CPI???ä¸???0.2ï¼?ï¼???å¹?æ¯?ä¸????©å¤§0.1ä¸??¾å???¹ï?èµ°å?¿ä??¨å????§å?ºé?´å??ï¼?ä¸???????2021-22å¹´å????æ°´å¹³?¸å?????å£è???§å??ç´???????ä¾?ç»???足影??ï¼?é£???ä»·æ?¼ä???0.7ï¼?ï¼??¶ä¸ï¼??¾è?¹ã??é²???????????鸡è????é²???ä»·æ?¼å??????ä¸???ï¼?å¯?PI???????计æ??ç´??è¿?????????é£???ä»·æ?¼ç?±ä?æ¶?.1ï¼?è½?¸ºä¸???0.1ï¼?ï¼??¶ä¸ï¼??¿ç?ä¸???0.1ï¼?ï¼?ä¸?2020å¹´å??2022å¹´å????ä¸??´ï???2021å¹´ã??2016-2019å¹´å???¼å??为ä?æ¶?.1ï¼?ï¼??????ºè???æ±????½å¸¦?¨é??ºç¥¨??交é??å·¥å?·ç?èµ?费转è·?ï¼?æ¼??±ä?ç?æ¼??ºæ´»?¨å???ï¼??µå½±??æ¼??ºç¥¨ä»·æ?¼å?å¹?ä¸?æ¶??å¤?è£??¢å?ä¸??°ï???è£?ä»·æ?¼å????§ä?涨ã??
????é£???ä¸???¾è?¹ç±»??é²???????????鸡è????é²???ä»·æ?¼å???????3.5ï¼???3.4ï¼???2.0ï¼???1.6ï¼???0.3ï¼?ï¼???计影??CPIä¸???çº?.13ä¸??¾å???¹ï???CPI?»é??å¹?????å¤?[1]??
??????é£???ä¸??1ï¼??½æ?ï¼?交é??å·¥å?·ç?¨ç??????æ°´ç?µç??????ä¸???0.2ï¼???2ï¼??¸å?????ï¼????¨å??ä»·æ?¼ç»§ç»??è·?ï¼?交é??å·¥å?·ä?è·?0.4ï¼?ï¼???ä¿¡å·¥?·ä?è·?0.8ï¼?ï¼?家ç?¨å?¨å?·ä»·?¼ä?è·?0.6ï¼?ï¼?å¤?è£??¢å?ä¸??°ï???è£?ä»·æ?¼ä?æ¶?.4ï¼???3ï¼?ç§???ï¼?ç§?èµ??¿ç?ä¸???0.1ï¼???4ï¼???ä½??¿æ???¡ï?é£??ºç¥¨??交é??å·¥å?·ç?èµ?费价?¼å??ä¸???7.2ï¼?ï¼???游æ???¡ä»·?¼ä?è·?0.6ï¼?ï¼????²ã??家åº???¡ã?????????¡ä»·?¼æ??å¹³ï???ä¿¡æ???¡ä?è·?0.1ï¼?ï¼??»ç?????¡ä»·?¼ä?æ¶?.1ï¼???
????ï¼?äº?ï¼?PPIï¼???å¹?继ç»?©å¤§
????5??PPI??æ¯?ä¸???4.6ï¼?ï¼???å¹?è¾?ä¸????©å¤§1ä¸??¾å???¹ï?ä½?äº?å¸??ºé?????-4.3ï¼???PPIè·?å¹??©å¤§ï¼?ä¸??¹é?¢æ???½å??å¤?å·¥ä???å¸??ºé??æ±??»ä???å¼±ï?è¿???以æ?¥ä?游大å®?????ä»·æ?¼æ????ä¸?è¡?ï¼??þ???¹é?¢å?????»å¹´é«??ºæ?°ç??å½±å??ï¼??»å¹´?????¤ç??????æ²¹å??é»??²ä»·?¼å??å¤?äº?é«?ä½???
????ä»?大类??ï¼???产è???ä»·æ?¼é??å¹?ä»?4.3ï¼??©å¤§??.9ï¼?ï¼???æ´»è???ä»·æ?¼ä?ä¸?æ¶?.4ï¼?è½?¸ºä¸?è·?0.1ï¼?ï¼???021å¹???以æ?¥é?次ä?????
????ä»??¶é??ä¸?????????ï¼?ä¸???ä¸???ä¸?游è?å¹????????©å¤§??ä¸?游è?ä¸?ä¸?è·?10.7ï¼?ï¼?ä¸???è·?8.9ï¼?ï¼?ä¸?¸¸è¡?ä¸?ä¸?è·?1.7ï¼?ï¼?ä¸???è·?1.1ï¼?ï¼?ä¸?游è?ä¸?ä¸?è·?1.3ï¼?ï¼?ä¸???è·?0.6ï¼???
????PPI???ä¸???0.9ï¼?ï¼??½é??å®?ä»·ç????æ²¹å?????²é?¾æ?¡è?ä¸?ï¼??½å??å®?ä»·ç???¤ç????é»??²é?¾æ?¡è?ä¸?ï¼??ºå?£å?????è£?å¤??¶é??è¡?ä¸?ï¼?汽车???µæ???计ç??ºç?µå?ç?ï¼?ä»·æ?¼å?±æ??µ°å¼±ã?????????°æ????30ä¸??ä¸?ä¸??ä»?4ä¸??æ¶??è¿?ä¸?æ¯?ä¾?è§þ@??2013å¹´æ???°æ??»¥?¥ç?????²ä?ä½?ï¼???两æ???020å¹?????3ä¸???2015å¹´ä???å¹´ç??2ä¸???
?????½é????æ²¹ã??主è????²é??å±?ä»·æ?¼ä?è¡?ï¼?å¸þ@?¨å?½å???¸å?³è?ä¸?ä»·æ?¼ä??????¶ä¸?³æ²¹??天ç?¶æ?å¼???ä¸?ä»·æ?¼ä???2.1ï¼?ï¼???åþ@????????åþ@?¶å???¶é??ä¸?ä»·æ?¼ä???2.0ï¼?ï¼????²é??å±??¶ç?¼å????延å??å·¥ä?ä»·æ?¼ä???1.1ï¼????¤ç?????¢æ????æ°´æ³¥ç?è¡?ä¸?ä¾?åº??»ä???足ï?ä½???æ±???å¼±ï?ä»·æ?¼å??ä¸???ï¼??¶ä¸?¤ç???????æ´???ä¸?ä»·æ?¼ä???5.2ï¼?ï¼?é»??²é??å±??¶ç?¼å????延å??å·¥ä?ä»·æ?¼ä???4.2ï¼?ï¼?????å±??¿ç?©å?¶å??ä¸?ä»·æ?¼ä???0.9ï¼???è£?å¤??¶é??ä¸?ä»·æ?¼å?å¹?ä¸???ï¼??¶ä¸ï¼??µæ??ºæ????¨æ???¶é??ä¸?ä»·æ?¼ä???0.5ï¼?ï¼?计ç??ºé??ä¿¡å???¶ä??µå?设å??¶é??ä¸?ä»·æ?¼ä???0.3ï¼?ï¼?汽车?¶é??ä¸?ä»·æ?¼ä???0.2ï¼????þ@?ï¼?????å·¥ç?ä½??²å??娱ä??¨å???¶é??ä¸?ä»·æ?¼ä?æ¶?.5ï¼?ï¼??µå????????产å??ä¾?åº?ä¸?ä»·æ?¼ä?æ¶?.1ï¼???
????äº???PPIç?åº?ä¸?/p>
?????¨ä????¹è?ä¸????ä»??è®?PI?ºæ???????è§?åº?ï¼?ä¸?è¿?ç¡??ä½?ä¼°ä???æ±?ä¸?足å?ä¸?游价?¼å°¤?¶æ???¤ç????é»??²ç³»????ç´??5??PPI??æ¯???å¹???è¿?ä¸?æ¥æ?©å¤§??ä½?ä»?å®?è§???å¾??两个è§?è§??ºå??ï¼??¤æ??PIä»?大æ???ä¼???-6??å®???ç?åº?ï¼?ä¸???å¹´å????å¹?åºþ=????ä½???
????å®?è§?è§?è§???ï¼?以æ????1??æ¯???ç¾??????°æ??建ç??é¢??????°é?示ï?PPI??æ¯???ä¼??¨ä?å£åº¦ç?åº?ï¼?ä½???ç»?????å¹?åºþ@???½å??å¼±ï????²ä???ï¼???类似äº?2013å¹´ã??
????M1ä»????è§?å±??¢æ????????å·¥ä?????????é¢???????ï¼?ç»?éª?ä¸?ï¼?M1??æ¯?é¢???PPI??æ¯?9ä¸???å·þ@?³ï??¶é?»è??¨ä?ä¼?ä¸?åº?å??¨æ?????°äº§?¨æ????ä¸??¹é???M1??»¥??解为ä¼?äº?ä¸???ä½?????æµ??¨æ?§è????????¿ï?代表ä¼?ä¸??¨ä?ç»??¥å?¨è½¬???°é??æµ?ï¼?é¢???å·¥ä?ä¼?ä¸?åº?å??¨æ??ä¸?ä¸??åºþ@·¦?³ã???þ???¹é???M1ä¸??????¿é????????ºæ????´ï??????¿é????»£è¡¨å?æ°?èµ?????ä¼?ä¸?èµ???è½?????ç»?æµ?è¡?为ï?å±?æ°?è´??¿æ????¿ä?å¼???èµ???主è??¥æ?ï¼?????¸¦?¨å?°äº§??èµ?ï¼?è¿???å½±å???°äº§ä¸?ä¸?游价?¼ã??
????æ¤å?ï¼?PPIä¸?ç¾??????°å???????????ç»?éª?ä¸?ï¼?ç¾??????°é?????å¹´å·¦?³ã??计价??ç´???ï¼??½é??大å?????主è?以ç???计价ï¼?ç¾???ä¸?è¡??¶ï?大å?????ä»·æ?¼è¡¨?°æ?¿å??ï¼?æµ??¨æ?§å??¢ç??ï¼?ç¾???æµ??¨æ?§æ?¶ç´§ä¹?ä¼????¶å¤§å®???ä»·æ?¼ä?è¡?ï¼???ä¹?äºþ>?¶ã??
????å¾??è§?è§???ï¼?ä¸?å£åº¦ç¿?å°¾å??ç´???ç´??大å?ç¼?解ï???PI??????主è??¨å????
????ä»?7??å¼?å§?ï¼?PPIç¿?å°¾å??ç´?å°????¾æ?¶ç???7??ï¼?ç¿?å°¾å??ç´?å°?ä»?-2.8ï¼???????1.5ï¼?ï¼?ä»?å¹?1??4ï¼?ç¿?å°¾å??ç´?????¸º-1.1ï¼???-2.7ï¼???-0.7ï¼???-0.3ï¼??????????½å??ç»?æµ?å¼±å??????±è???æ¥è?????ç»???????ä¸?è½?¤§å¹?ä¸?è·???ï¼?6??以æ?¥ï??¤ç?????ºçº¹ä»·æ?¼å·²??ä¼?稳迹象ç???³ç?¥æ??????ï¼???æ²¹å?????²ä»·?¼ä??¥æ????å¼¹ã????设ä?游大å®?ä»·æ?¼ä???è¿?ä¸?æ¥ä??????ç»?PI?????å¹³ç????å½??ï¼? PPI??æ¯??¨ä?????å£åº¦å°??¶ç???2.4ï¼???-2.1ï¼?ï¼??¥å??ç»??????å¢???.2ï¼?ï¼???æ¯??¨ä?????å£åº¦???½æ?¶ç???1.9ï¼???-0.9ï¼???
????[1]http://www.stats.gov.cn/sj/sjjd/202306/t20230609_1940481.html
?????·ä???容è?è§?????è¯??¸ç??究æ??6??9?¥å??å¸????¥å??????????å®?è§??? PPIäº?å£åº¦??ç?åº?ï¼???ç»?????å¹?åºþ=????å¼±â????5???????°æ???¹è? ????
?³é?????读ï? PPI